The numbers
Gas prices have jumped to four-year highs following recent attacks by Israel and Iran on gasfields, significantly impacting global energy markets. Brent crude oil prices surged by 8% to reach $116 a barrel before settling at $110 a barrel, reflecting the heightened tensions in the region.
European gas prices have also seen a substantial increase, with the Dutch wholesale gas price rising by 24% to €68 a megawatt hour. In the UK, gas prices rose by 23%, reaching 172p a therm, marking the highest level since August 2022. These developments come as crude prices have soared by 60% since the onset of the US-Israeli war on Iran, which began on February 28, 2026.
The conflict has had direct implications for global supply chains, particularly in liquefied natural gas (LNG). Iran’s attacks have damaged facilities responsible for 17% of QatarEnergy’s LNG export capacity, raising concerns about the stability of supply. Susannah Streeter, a market analyst, stated, “Fears of a sustained energy shock have resurfaced after the escalation in the Iran war sent oil and gas prices soaring.”
Authorities in Abu Dhabi have responded to the crisis by shutting down operations at the Habshan gas facility and Bab oilfield due to the Iranian attacks. This disruption is expected to have ripple effects across the global gas market, as noted by the energy consultancy Wood Mackenzie, which indicated that the attacks on Qatar’s LNG hub have altered the global gas market outlook.
Market observers are closely monitoring the situation, with warnings that oil prices could potentially reach $150 a barrel. One analyst remarked, “The price of gas in the world market will therefore inevitably rise, because that gas can’t be substituted very quickly at all, and maybe not for a very long time.” This sentiment underscores the uncertainty surrounding the energy market as geopolitical tensions continue to escalate.
As the situation develops, the impact on global energy prices remains a critical concern for economies reliant on stable gas supplies. The volatility in the market has already led to a 3.4% decrease in Japan’s Nikkei and a 2.4% decrease in the FTSE 100, reflecting investor anxiety over the potential for prolonged disruptions in energy supply.
Details remain unconfirmed regarding the full extent of the damage to gas facilities and the long-term implications for global energy prices. However, the immediate effects of the conflict are evident, with significant increases in gas prices and a shift in market dynamics that could have lasting repercussions.
