Troy has not won a game in the NCAA Tournament in its three prior appearances. As they prepare to face Nebraska on March 19, 2026, at 9:40 a.m. MST, the Trojans are looking to break this streak.
Nebraska enters the matchup as a 12.5-point favorite, with ESPN giving them a 92.7% chance to win. In contrast, Troy’s win probability is estimated at just 11% according to simulations.
The over/under for the game is set at 137.5 points, indicating a potentially competitive scoring environment. However, analysts suggest that the Trojans may not be as intimidated as the odds suggest.
Jeremy Cluff noted, “This game could be much closer than the point spread suggests. The Trojans won’t be intimidated, but they will fall short of the upset against the Cornhuskers.” Meanwhile, Jay Bilas pointed out Troy’s recent performances, stating, “The Trojans won at San Diego State and lost in triple overtime at USC. Troy can play. And though Nebraska has never won an NCAA Tournament game, this year ends that drought.”
On the other hand, Bill Speros highlighted the psychological burden Nebraska carries with a 0-8 record in the tournament, saying, “Nebraska is the better team and should finally end its tournament losing streak, but the psychological weight of 0-8 combined with a well-coached Sun Belt champion Troy squad that can pound the glass makes 13.5 a concerning number.”
As the game approaches, the stakes are high for both teams. Troy’s coach Scott Cross has led the team to 20 wins in consecutive seasons, but the pressure of the NCAA Tournament looms large.
In a related cultural note, Ava Pickett’s play “Bloodsport: After Helen of Troy” is set to premiere from September 3 to October 3, 2026, directed by Lisa Spirling. This play explores themes connected to the mythological figure Helen of Troy, who is referenced in the context of Troy’s historical narrative.
As the tournament unfolds, observers are keen to see if Troy can finally secure a victory in the NCAA Tournament, while Nebraska aims to overcome its historical challenges.
Details remain unconfirmed regarding any last-minute changes to the game schedule or team rosters.
